SUBSTRATE

Every number carries its own doubt.

Substrate is a techno-economic reasoning instrument: atomic claims with provenance and grades, deterministic models that consume them, and an uncertainty engine that tells you which unknown is most worth resolving next.

Explore the SBSP model Read the architecture

Live from the substrate — computed from the claim registry at build time

L1 · Claim registry
15
active claims · 0 flagged stale · 0 restricted
L3+L4 · SBSP LCOE (Monte Carlo, n=5000)
$303/MWh
90% interval: $149 – $564
L4 · Resolve next (VOI)
D sbsp-wacc-007 48% of swing
C sbsp-capacity-005 32% of swing
C sbsp-launch-001 11% of swing

Seven layers, one integrity rule

Nothing bypasses L1 — every layer reads and writes graded claims.

  1. L1 · Claim Substrate — provenance, grades, contest ranges, version lineage live
  2. L2 · Extraction & Corroboration — documents → candidates; human gate, always stub
  3. L3 · Model Registry — pure functions with fixtures; SBSP LCOE shipped live
  4. L4 · Uncertainty Engine — grade→distribution, Monte Carlo, VOI ranking live
  5. L5 · Forecasting — event shocks, scenario composition seed
  6. L6 · Orchestration — staleness sweeps, agent queues deferred
  7. L7 · Presentation — this page + the instrument at /app live